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You love them. But what makes you
think they'll pay the rent? |
Collectables are antiques, works of art, wine, jewellery...........typically,
objects of desire which are not transient and may therefore be worth
more in the future. A few thoughts for you.
- Collectables as investments are sexy. Articles
about them sell newspapers. Contact with them is seductive. Your
mate at the golf club talks casually about his wine investments
to make you feel provincial. There is a whole industry out there
of makers, traders, communicators and hustlers whose livlihoods
depend on the promotion of this aura. These people make their
money out of...........guess who?
- We all have something that we know our great-grandfather
bought for 10 old pence and is now worth £2,000. But we
long ago junked the ugly painting that our great-grandfather bought
for £100 and is now worthless.
- We would love to believe that an antique
table we desire but cannot afford to buy out of income is really
an "investment".
- All collectables have holding costs (like
storage and insurance) which we always underestimate.
- All collectables have a big spread between
the buying and selling prices (ever tried to buy and sell the
same thing from the same dealer?).
- Broadly (very broadly), your average
object of desire is going to maintain its value in real terms,
no more and no less. Broadly (very broadly), your average
financial investment is going to appreciate in real terms. So
the house odds are against you.
Our view
If your financial planning suggests an investment
in Index-Linked Bonds, and you believe you have a specialist knowledge
in a collectable area, do the following:
- Look at the interest rate on ILBs (1%?)
- Estimate the holding costs, excluding finance
costs, of your collectable investment (5%?)
- Estimate your annual dealing costs if you
are planning to trade to stay ahead of the game (2%?)
- Add a risk premium (2%?)
- Add all this together (10%)
- That is then the amount by which your collectable
stock must increase in value compounded annually in real terms
through your skill in trading, or because your collectable
of interest happens to be in sufficient demand to drive that sort
of above-inflation price increase.
If those numbers stack up, then you should invest
in the collectable of your choice instead of ILBs. Or maybe just
part of your ILBs (don't let's forget diversification). And good
luck to you.
If not, what's wrong with enhancing
your passion for {whatever} with a little bit of judicious buying
and selling, and justify the amount you (over)spend on it with the
knowledge that it may be worth something someday? That's what the
rest of us do.
And who wants collectables to
be an investment anyway? What could be more vulgar or life-destructive
than buying Chateau d'Yquem and never drinking it, or buying a Van
Gogh and sticking it in a bank vault?
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